Simmons First National Stock Performance

SFNC Stock  USD 21.47  0.31  1.47%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Simmons First holds a performance score of 13. The entity has a beta of 1.11, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Simmons First returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Simmons First is expected to follow. Please check Simmons First's treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Simmons First's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Simmons First National are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting basic indicators, Simmons First exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.47
Five Day Return
0.94
Year To Date Return
14.08
Ten Year Return
3.37
All Time Return
732.17
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0396
Payout Ratio
0.5012
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.85
Dividend Date
2026-01-02
1
Simmons First National Prime Meridian Financial Review
11/26/2025
2
Acquisition by Lanigan Susan S of 929 shares of Simmons First subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2025
 
Simmons First dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026
01/02/2026
3
Disposition of 928 shares by Purvis Tom E. of Simmons First subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
4
Simmons First National Corp Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Record Loan Production and ...
01/21/2026
5
Acquisition by Charles Hobbs of 26967 shares of Simmons First subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
6
Acquisition by Brogdon James M of 80159 shares of Simmons First subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2026
7
Simmons Bank Announces Key Executive Appointments
02/02/2026
8
First BanCorp. Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue
02/03/2026
9
Simmons First National Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings
02/05/2026
10
Versor Investments LP Purchases New Holdings in Simmons First National Corporation SFNC
02/12/2026
11
Assessing Simmons First National Valuation As Shares Gain Momentum Despite Recent Losses
02/17/2026
12
A Look Back at Regional Banks Stocks Q4 Earnings Ameris Bancorp Vs The Rest Of The Pack
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow614.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities369.5 M

Simmons First Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,794  in Simmons First National on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  353.00  from holding Simmons First National or generate 19.68% return on investment over 90 days. Simmons First National is currently generating 0.3152% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.788% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Simmons, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Simmons First is expected to generate 2.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Simmons First Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Simmons Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.47 90 days 21.47 
about 5.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Simmons First to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.79 (This Simmons First National probability density function shows the probability of Simmons Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This usually implies Simmons First National market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Simmons First is expected to follow. Additionally Simmons First National has an alpha of 0.2167, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Simmons First Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Simmons First

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Simmons First National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8021.5923.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.3223.7125.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8920.6822.47
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.9323.0025.53
Details

Simmons First Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Simmons First is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Simmons First's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Simmons First National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Simmons First within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Simmons First Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Simmons First for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Simmons First National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Simmons First has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of January 2026 Simmons First paid $ 0.2125 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Look Back at Regional Banks Stocks Q4 Earnings Ameris Bancorp Vs The Rest Of The Pack

Simmons First Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Simmons Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Simmons First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Simmons First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding134.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 B

Simmons First Fundamentals Growth

Simmons Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Simmons First, and Simmons First fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Simmons Stock performance.

About Simmons First Performance

By analyzing Simmons First's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Simmons First's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Simmons First has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Simmons First has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.03)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.12)(0.11)

Things to note about Simmons First National performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Simmons First for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Simmons First National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Simmons First has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of January 2026 Simmons First paid $ 0.2125 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Look Back at Regional Banks Stocks Q4 Earnings Ameris Bancorp Vs The Rest Of The Pack
Evaluating Simmons First's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Simmons First's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Simmons First's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Simmons First's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Simmons First's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Simmons First's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Simmons First's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Simmons First's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Simmons First's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Simmons First's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Simmons First's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Simmons Stock analysis

When running Simmons First's price analysis, check to measure Simmons First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simmons First is operating at the current time. Most of Simmons First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simmons First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simmons First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simmons First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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